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Weekly Beeps - Expect market to remain volatile for a while. Govt to announce Q2 GDP next week 26-11-2011

India's benchmark share indices, the Bombay Stock Exchange's Sensex and the National Stock Exchange's Nifty, ended down for the fourth straight week amid persistent selling by foreign institutional investors on fears of slowing domestic growth, weakening rupee, moderating factory output data from China and rising debt concerns in Europe.

The undercurrent will remain weak as long as European leaders find a common ground as far as finding a lasting solution to the debt crisis is concerned. Right now they seem to be struggling in containing the financial malaise amid fears of it spreading to the core of the eurozone. At the same time, other developed economies like the US, Japan and the UK are also having their own set of problems.

India was doing well till last year but has lost momentum rapidly partly due to overseas headwinds but mostly owing to the Centre's inept handling of the situation. There have been few signs of the policy impasse ending, but the Government must build on this to lift the pall of gloom. Q2 GDP report due out next week should clearly tell us as to where things stand as far the Indian economy is concerned.

Being the beginning of a new month, markets will have lot of data points to digest, including manufacturing PMI, services PMI, GDP data and auto sales. So, brace for more volatility and uncertainty, and avoid any misadventures.


Chart forS&P CNX NIFTY (^NSEI)


Benchmark Indices

Index18-Nov-1125-Nov-11% Change
SENSEX16371.5115695.43-4.13
NIFTY4905.84710.05-3.99
Hang Seng18491.2317689.48-4.34
Nikkei8374.918160.01-2.57
Shanghai2531.062493.03-1.50
Dow Jones*11770.7311257.55-4.36
S&P 500*1216.131161.79-4.47
NASDAQ*2587.992460.08-4.94
Bovespa*56988.955279.9-3.00
FTSE*5423.145101.97-5.92
DAX*5850.175392.08-7.83
CAC*3010.292808.53-6.70


Top Gainers

ScripCMP% Change (WoW)
Amtek Auto Ltd.12228.02
Aurobindo Pharma90.19.41
Apollo Hospitals564.75.84
Jain Irrigation123.353.96
Rural Electrific183.553.09
Pipavav Defence & Of56.82.34
Unitech Ltd.23.32.19
Divi's Lab724.81.78
Lupin Ltd.456.351.72
Indraprastha Gas Ltd390.251.47


Top Losers

ScripCMP% Change (WoW)
Manappuram Finance52.25-13.13
Adani Enterprises Lt295.45-12.04
HDIL64.3-11.92
Shree Renuka Sugars31-11.55
Guj. Fluorochemi400-11.19
Opto Circuits India199.55-11.13
Mundra Port & Specia123.85-10.12
Redington (India) Lt77.4-9.9
Financial Technolog.557.75-9.87
Pantaloon Retail178.7-9.86

Currency Rate

Index18-Nov-1125-Nov-11% Change
USD51.2852.210.96
EURO69.5469.15-1.05
GBP81.3580.78-0.78
JYP (per 100)66.9667.550.36

Key Global Indicators

Index18-Nov-1125-Nov-11% Change
Gold2846528371-0.33
Silver54413544200.01
Crude Oil (Brent)106.88107.180.28
Crude Oil (Nymex)97.0695.75-1.35

Corporate Happenings

Mon, 28th Nov
Tue, 29th Nov
Board Meet :
MRF Ltd
EGM :
Indian Overseas Bank
Wed, 30th Nov
Board Meet :
MphasiS Ltd
Thu, 01st Dec
Fri, 02nd Dec
Sat, 03rd Dec
Sun, 04th Dec


Weekly Technical Analysis of the Indian Stock & Share Market

Most Active Stocks

The 20 most active stocks traded in terms of value of shares traded and their weekly % change.

Security Name

Close

% Change

STATE BANK

1690.60

-2.09

ICICI BANK

718.20

-6.74

INFOSYS TECHNOLO

2599.70

-5.15

LARSEN & TOUBRO

1265.95

1.71

RELIANCE INDS

753.80

-6.72

BHARTI AIRTEL

375.15

-5.63

TATA MOTORS

171.85

0.91

AXIS BANK

967.25

0.31

HDFC BANK

430.90

-5.98

TATA STEEL

374.95

-4.21

PANTALOON RETAIL

233.95

17.91

ITC LTD

192.25

-4.74

MAHINDRA & MAHIN

706.25

-4.30

TCS

1063.90

-2.09

BHEL

270.05

-1.75

HDFC LTD

613.75

-4.94

DLF

203.70

-0.23

HERO HONDA

2036.20

-7.17

JSW STEEL

555.85

-8.99

JAIPRAKASH ASSOC

60.70

-2.49


Biggest Weekly % Gainers

The following list shows the stocks (over Rs.10/share) that had the biggest gains over last week. Gains are measured on a percentage basis. For example, a stock moving from 20 to 25 had a 5 point or 25% gain. Often stocks appearing on this list had some type of positive news (e.g., big earnings report, new product announcement, etc.).

Security Name

Close

% Change

VISHAL RETAIL

22.70

41.43

KOUTONS RETAIL (I)

23.95

33.80

AMTEK INDIA

87.05

32.45

AMTEK AUTO

121.75

28.43

STERLING BIOTECH

68.00

25.58

PANTALOON RETAIL

233.95

17.92

NITIN FIRE PROTECTION INDS

29.95

17.91

BALAJI AMINES

39.25

16.99

ONMOBILE GLOBAL

67.20

16.97

JHS SVENDGAARD LABORATORIES

34.10

16.78

APOLLO HOSPITALS

616.80

15.82

DB REALTY

68.15

14.73

IBN18 BROADCAST

39.30

13.58

BRANDHOUSE RETAILS

14.65

13.57

AUROBINDO PHARMA

92.75

13.11

KINGFISHER AIRLINES

27.10

12.68

SUDAR GARMENTS

70.30

12.57

MVL

21.35

12.07

MANJUSHREE TECHNOPACK

82.95

11.94

AGRE DEVELOPERS

41.85

11.90

WINDSOR MACHINES

17.50

11.47

SHOPPERS STOP

395.80

11.26

GEMINI COMMUNICATION

20.90

10.29

SKUMARS NATIONWI

29.55

10.26

Biggest Weekly % Losers

The following list shows the stocks (over Rs.10/share) that had the biggest losses over last week. Losses are measured on a percentage basis. For example, a stock moving from 20 to 15 had a 5 point or 25% loss. Often stocks appearing on this list had some type of negative news (e.g., bad earnings report, lower analyst rating, product delay announcement, etc.).

Security Name

Close

% Change

BEDMUTHA INDUSTRIES

41.85

-44.46

PARSVNATH DEVELOPERS

34.00

-40.97

SUJANA TOWERS

10.90

-30.13

UNITY INFRAPROJECTS

23.05

-28.30

KWALITY DAIRY (I)

66.60

-26.57

GLODYNE TECHNOSERVE

224.15

-25.77

USHER AGRO

91.15

-25.50

NEHA INTERNATIONAL

59.25

-22.50

GYSCOAL ALLOYS

14.70

-22.43

GALLANTT METAL

20.15

-22.35

EMAMI INFRASTRUCTURE

20.85

-18.55

TIMKEN INDIA

192.45

-18.26

AEGIS LOGISTICS

133.65

-18.08

ARSS INFRASTRUCTURE PROJECTS

191.45

-17.87

KIRI INDS

79.05

-17.14

GENUS POWER INFRASTRUCTURE

11.05

-15.00

A2Z MAINTENANCE & ENGINEERING SERVICES

116.30

-14.89

PRIME FOCUS

47.70

-14.82

WILLIAMSON MAGOR

39.55

-14.67

TTK HEALTHCARE

365.10

-14.56

WELSPUN PROJECTS

27.40

-14.24

KAMAT HOTELS (I)

96.75

-14.23

JINDAL SOUTH WEST HOLDINGS

428.15

-14.20

ISMT

25.40

-14.04

JAI BALAJI INDS

61.30

-13.96

SURYAJYOTI SPINNING MILLS

13.30

-13.92

THOMAS COOK (I)

37.80

-13.70

DEN NETWORKS

58.90

-13.57

HOV SERVICES

38.00

-13.34

AHLUWALIA CONTRACTS (I)

69.35

-13.31

VIP INDS

116.70

-13.11

STEEL AUTHORITY

82.10

-12.94

BF UTILITIES

353.70

-12.62

ABAN OFFSHORE

345.15

-12.59

ZICOM ELECTRONIC SECURITY SYSTEMS

29.20

-12.57

ADVANTA (I)

323.35

-12.43

BARTRONICS (I)

38.25

-12.37

EROS INTERNATIONAL MEDIA

207.05

-12.10

SHR RENUKA SUGARS

30.90

-11.97

RUCHI INFRASTURE

15.90

-11.91

HIND OIL EXPLORA

109.30

-11.68

BILPOWER

66.50

-11.57

INDO TECH TRANSFORMERS

94.70

-11.50

GATI

26.85

-11.39

CREW BOS PRODUCTS

26.60

-11.33

EASUN REYROL

60.10

-11.09

MANAPPURAM GENERAL FINANCE & LEASING

53.25

-10.95

HOUSING DEV & INFRA

65.10

-10.88

JUBILANT LIFE SCIENCES

182.15

-10.73

SKS MICROFINANCE

108.90

-10.55

MUNDRA PORT & SEZ

123.35

-10.55

ALKALI METALS

32.10

-10.46

ANSAL PROPERTIES

26.60

-10.44

COX & KINGS

185.70

-10.38

ASTRAL POLY TECHNIK

152.20

-10.31

DELTA CORP

74.05

-10.24

MEGASOFT

11.00

-10.20

WELSPUN CORP

71.65

-10.04


Stocks with Bullish Engulfing Patterns.

The following stocks have been trending downward in the short and intermediate terms and have formed a bullish engulfing pattern. The probability of an upward reversal in prices has increased.

Security Name

Close

AMTEK AUTO

121.75

HEXAWARE TECHNOL

85.95

MANJUSHREE TECHNOPACK

82.95

SHRENUJ & CO

67.15

TATA MOTORS DVR 'A' ORD

94.65


Stocks with Bearish Engulfing Patterns.

The following stocks have been trending upward in the short and intermediate terms and have formed a bearish engulfing pattern. The probability of a downward reversal in prices has increased.

Security Name

Close

None


% Volume Change

The following list shows all stocks whose volumes surged by more than 100% this week compared to the previous week. Upward price movement on large volume change is a bullish (positive) sign for the stock if the stock has been flat or trending downward. Downward price movement on large volume change is a bearish (negative) sign for the stock if the stock has been flat or trending upward. Stocks are arranged in descending order of volume change.

Security Name

Close

% Change

Volume

% Change

THOMAS COOK (I)

37.80

-13.70

4056386

1085

BALAJI AMINES

39.25

16.98

239219

976

SHOPPERS STOP

395.80

11.25

2347852

890

PARSVNATH DEVELOPERS

34.00

-40.98

29663348

614

KOUTONS RETAIL (I)

23.95

33.79

4038274

584

BRANDHOUSE RETAILS

14.65

13.56

1094209

526

VISHAL RETAIL

22.70

41.43

2310649

417

UNITY INFRAPROJECTS

23.05

-28.31

3170213

373

DB REALTY

68.15

14.73

9788237

317

GEMINI COMMUNICATION

20.90

10.29

734152

311

JINDAL SOUTH WEST HOLDINGS

428.15

-14.20

782955

291

ONMOBILE GLOBAL

67.20

16.97

5941664

255

USHER AGRO

91.15

-25.51

3547779

194

PANTALOON RETAIL

233.95

17.91

42934824

187

INDO TECH TRANSFORMERS

94.70

-11.50

40400

179

SKS MICROFINANCE

108.90

-10.56

2649723

172

GLODYNE TECHNOSERVE

224.15

-25.77

1630539

169

WELSPUN PROJECTS

27.40

-14.25

110884

142

AMTEK AUTO

121.75

28.42

12532385

140

ZICOM ELECTRONIC SECURITY SYSTEMS

29.20

-12.58

122682

125

MVL

21.35

12.07

4020312

113

MEGASOFT

11.00

-10.21

84054

104

KAMAT HOTELS (I)

96.75

-14.23

294474

101

COX & KINGS

185.70

-10.38

1467555

100


New Intermediate Uptrend

Prices of stocks (and other entities) rise and fall due to changes in the supply and demand relationships between buyers and sellers of the stock. The causes of the changing supply and demand relationships are many, but the effect of these changes shows up in the changing stock prices.

The following list shows all stocks & indices beginning a new intermediate uptrend. A new intermediate uptrend normally begins with an upside breakout when demand outstrips supply after a series of falling tops and bottoms.

Security Name

Close

APOLLO HOSPITALS

616.80

OUDH SUGAR MILLS

21.95

TATA CHEM

344.45


New Intermediate Downtrend

Prices of stocks (and other entities) rise and fall due to changes in the supply and demand relationships between buyers and sellers of the stock. The causes of the changing supply and demand relationships are many, but the effect of these changes shows up in the changing stock prices.

The following list shows all stocks beginning a new intermediate downtrend. A new intermediate downtrend normally begins with a breakdown when supply soaks up all demand after a series of rising tops and bottoms.

Security Name

Close

ADITYA BIRLA MONEY

15.20

ADVANTA (I)

323.35

BASF (I)

538.90

BILPOWER

66.50

BIOCON

310.35

BOMBAY RAYON FASHIONS

261.20

COROMANDEL INTL

287.80

COX & KINGS

185.70

DS KULKARNI

52.05

ECE INDS

93.85

EIH ASSOCIATED HOTELS

135.45

EROS INTERNATIONAL MEDIA

207.05

GEI INDUSTRIAL SYSTEMS

122.80

GODREJ INDS

178.90

HDFC LTD

613.75

HINDUSTAN MEDIA VENTURES

122.95

ICICI BANK

718.20

IDBI

91.40

IDFC

106.50

JINDAL POLY FILM

177.20

JINDAL SAW

121.95

MAN INDS (I)

115.05

MOSER BAER (I)

19.90

NOIDA TOLL BRIDG

22.25

NTPC

156.90

POLARIS SOFTWARE

120.65

PRIME FOCUS

47.70

ROYAL ORCHID HOTELS

47.25

RUCHI INFRASTURE

15.90

SE ASIA MARINE

92.00

SEL MANUFACTURING CO

10.90

SKF (I)

599.05

TIMKEN INDIA

192.45

VARDHMAN TEXTILE

178.85

WILLIAMSON MAGOR

39.55

XPRO INDIA

48.45


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