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Weekly Beeps - Market to remain volatile ahead of IIP, monetary policy 12-12-2011

Next week is again very important with key events for our markets.The IIP data will be announced on December 12, followed by November monthly inflation on December 14 and RBI monetary policy review on December 16.

The IIP data for October will be out on Monday. The number is likely to be a pretty dismal one with one national daily actually reporting a 7% contraction.

Latest inflation report will be released on Dec. 14 and the RBI will take up its review on Dec. 16. A pause is what the RBI had predicted at its previous meeting. But, one has to see what stance the central bank takes as the rupee's depreciation has made things worse with cost of imports shooting up sharply.

Global factors will also remain in focus. Investors will closely analyze and examine the EU Summit outcome to gauge if the debt-strapped eurozone can finally fix its long-running problems. Any news on rating downgrade(s) may dampen the mood.

Though valuations of Indian equities may appear reasonable, most investors are not willing to take the bait just yet. The near-term outlook will hinge on political developments and overseas markets. Also watch out for the advance tax numbers, trend in FII flows and the rupee.




Benchmark Indices

Index2-Dec-119-Dec-11% Change
Sensex16846.8316213.46-3.76
Nifty5050.154866.7-3.63
Hang Seng19040.3918586.23-2.39
Nikkei8643.758536.46-1.24
Shanghai2360.662315.27-1.92
Dow Jones*12020.0311997.7-0.19
S&P 500*1244.581234.35-0.82
NASDAQ*2626.22596.38-1.14
Bovespa*58143.457455-1.18
FTSE*5568.465483.77-1.52
DAX*6131.515874.44-4.19
CAC*3181.683095.49-2.71
*Closing till Thursday

Currency Rate

Index2-Dec-119-Dec-11% Change
USD51.4352.061.22
EURO69.3570.081.05
GBP80.6681.941.59
JYP (per 100)66.0567.151.67

Top Gainers

ScripCMP% Change (WoW)
United Breweries46015.43
Indiabulls147.99.35
Pipavav Ship675.91
JP Hydro Pow384.68
UTV Software981.13.46
Piram.Health380.13.41
Oil India1180.53.26
Redington822.96
MphasiS 3242.89
UltraTechCem1204.452.57

Top Losers

ScripCMP% Change (WoW)
IB Real Esta53.3-18.87
Pantaloon 181.65-15.08
Renuka Sugar28.65-13.05
GMR Infra18.75-11.76
CESC230.05-11.62
Idea86-10.93
Dish TV61.1-10.48
PFC162.55-9.79
Alstom Proj 358.15-9.39
Jet Airways235.8-9.05


Key Global Indicators

Index2-Dec-119-Dec-11% Change
Gold28935291580.77
Silver55830565501.29
Crude Oil (Brent)109.2108.1-1.01
Crude Oil (Nymex)100.7298.53-2.17

Corporate Happenings


Mon, 12th Dec
Board Meet :
Colgate-Palmolive (India) Ltd
Dividend :
Nestle India Ltd
Tue, 13th Dec
Wed, 14th Dec
Thu, 15th Dec
Fri, 16th Dec
Dividend :
United Breweries Ltd
Sat, 17th Dec
Sun, 18th Dec


Weekly Technical Analysis of the Indian Stock & Share Market


Most Active Stocks

The 20 most active stocks traded in terms of value of shares traded and their weekly % change.

Security Name

Close

% Change

STATE BANK

1865.55

-1.13

ICICI BANK

731.15

-7.18

RELIANCE INDS

755.70

-6.94

INFOSYS TECHNOLO

2710.30

0.59

BHARTI AIRTEL

358.70

-8.17

TATA MOTORS

183.00

-4.64

LARSEN & TOUBRO

1226.85

-6.37

AXIS BANK

991.90

-1.40

TATA STEEL

397.55

-5.15

PANTALOON RETAIL

181.55

-15.15

HDFC LTD

655.40

-1.83

TCS

1172.40

-0.48

HDFC BANK

443.75

-4.78

HINDALCO INDS

132.15

-2.41

MAHINDRA & MAHIN

703.25

-6.22

ITC LTD

197.15

-4.53

JAIPRAKASH ASSOC

63.35

-5.87

DLF

213.85

-4.30

JSW STEEL

586.30

-7.93

WIPRO LTD

404.95

3.35


Biggest Weekly % Gainers

The following list shows the stocks (over Rs.10/share) that had the biggest gains over last week. Gains are measured on a percentage basis. For example, a stock moving from 20 to 25 had a 5 point or 25% gain. Often stocks appearing on this list had some type of positive news (e.g., big earnings report, new product announcement, etc.).

Security Name

Close

% Change

AUTOLINE INDS

118.05

26.66

TILAKNAGAR INDS

38.20

24.23

STEEL STRIPS WHEELS

219.30

23.48

LOGIX MICROSYSTEMS

19.95

17.35

TEXMO PIPES & PRODUCTS

19.60

17.01

HIND DORR-OLIVER

29.00

16.23

SKS MICROFINANCE

118.75

15.35

MADHUCON PROJECTS

57.55

15.10

RAMCO SYSTEMS

68.80

14.38

UNITED BREWERIES

456.80

14.21

ANKUR DRUGS & PHARMA

21.80

13.25

EXCEL INFOWAYS

11.30

13.00

KERNEX MICROSYSTEMS (I)

72.35

12.17

ELECTROTHERM

159.50

12.13

BPL LTD

19.25

11.92

SREI INFRASTRUCTURE FINANCE

28.20

11.90

GLODYNE TECHNOSERVE

266.80

11.63

BIL ENERGY SYSTEMS

63.15

11.08

KALINDEE RAIL NIRMAN (ENGINEERS)

109.95

11.06

EIH ASSOCIATED HOTELS

148.05

11.02

UCAL FUEL SYSTE

71.40

10.27

PARSVNATH DEVELOPERS

43.25

10.05

Biggest Weekly % Losers

The following list shows the stocks (over Rs.10/share) that had the biggest losses over last week. Losses are measured on a percentage basis. For example, a stock moving from 20 to 15 had a 5 point or 25% loss. Often stocks appearing on this list had some type of negative news (e.g., bad earnings report, lower analyst rating, product delay announcement, etc.).

Security Name

Close

% Change

SABERO ORGANICS

87.70

-28.90

ANSAL HOUSING

33.40

-18.54

KWALITY DAIRY (I)

42.10

-18.41

NEHA INTERNATIONAL

41.30

-18.38

EDSERV SOFTSYSTEMS

56.00

-18.31

VIP INDS

102.05

-17.73

MONEY MATTERS FINANCIAL SERVICES

103.25

-16.70

PANTALOON RETAIL

181.55

-15.14

VISHAL RETAIL

17.20

-14.43

GOENKA DIAMOND & JEWELS

34.95

-14.23

BALAJI TELEFILMS

32.05

-14.08

SHR RENUKA SUGARS

28.55

-13.35

INDO TECH TRANSFORMERS

88.85

-13.15

BGR ENERGY SYSTEMS

236.40

-12.62

ALEMBIC LTD

15.80

-12.22

GRAVITA (I)

364.95

-11.77

GMR INFRASTRUCTURE

18.75

-11.76

CESC LTD

230.00

-11.67

EVEREST KANTO CYLINDER

36.15

-11.61

KOUTONS RETAIL (I)

18.45

-11.51

SPIC LTD

18.85

-11.08

CAMLIN

35.60

-10.89

ZENITH INFOTECH

42.35

-10.84

DISH TV (I)

61.00

-10.69

RALLIS (I)

140.65

-10.67

NDTV LTD

34.20

-10.47

UNITY INFRAPROJECTS

28.00

-10.11

VALECHA ENGINEERING

59.10

-10.05

KSK ENERGY VENTURES

47.10

-10.03


Stocks with Bullish Engulfing Patterns.

The following stocks have been trending downward in the short and intermediate terms and have formed a bullish engulfing pattern. The probability of an upward reversal in prices has increased.

Security Name

Close

ACCEL FRONTLINE

37.85

ENERGY DEVELOPMENT CO

40.10

HEG LTD

170.10

KIRLOSKAR BROTHERS

123.00

MADHUCON PROJECTS

57.55

OIL (I)

1190.15

PAPER PRODUCTS

68.25

REDINGTON (I)

82.25

SUN PHARMA ADVANCED RESEARCH COMPANY

75.00

TULSI EXTRUSIONS

10.35


Stocks with Bearish Engulfing Patterns.

The following stocks have been trending upward in the short and intermediate terms and have formed a bearish engulfing pattern. The probability of a downward reversal in prices has increased.

Security Name

Close

None


% Volume Change

The following list shows all stocks whose volumes surged by more than 100% this week compared to the previous week. Upward price movement on large volume change is a bullish (positive) sign for the stock if the stock has been flat or trending downward. Downward price movement on large volume change is a bearish (negative) sign for the stock if the stock has been flat or trending upward. Stocks are arranged in descending order of volume change.

Security Name

Close

% Change

Volume

% Change

EIH ASSOCIATED HOTELS

148.05

11.02

47378

2492

AUTOLINE INDS

118.05

26.66

3245167

1961

BPL LTD

19.25

11.91

980748

1331

UCAL FUEL SYSTE

71.40

10.27

206460

1189

UNITED BREWERIES

456.80

14.21

3538945

1090

ELECTROTHERM

159.50

12.12

40658

1029

RAMCO SYSTEMS

68.80

14.38

549164

819

TILAKNAGAR INDS

38.20

24.22

2413429

621

BIL ENERGY SYSTEMS

63.15

11.08

12907

555

KALINDEE RAIL NIRMAN (ENGINEERS)

109.95

11.06

2778790

531

KERNEX MICROSYSTEMS (I)

72.35

12.17

856168

292

STEEL STRIPS WHEELS

219.30

23.47

1930512

266

TEXMO PIPES & PRODUCTS

19.60

17.01

284971

250

EXCEL INFOWAYS

11.30

13.00

1020657

165

NEHA INTERNATIONAL

41.30

-18.38

370282

118

LOGIX MICROSYSTEMS

19.95

17.35

58850

112


New Intermediate Uptrend

Prices of stocks (and other entities) rise and fall due to changes in the supply and demand relationships between buyers and sellers of the stock. The causes of the changing supply and demand relationships are many, but the effect of these changes shows up in the changing stock prices.

The following list shows all stocks & indices beginning a new intermediate uptrend. A new intermediate uptrend normally begins with an upside breakout when demand outstrips supply after a series of falling tops and bottoms.

Security Name

Close

GEOMETRIC SOFTWA

52.90

NAVA BHARAT VENT

199.65

TILAKNAGAR INDS

38.20

UNITED BREWERIES

456.80


New Intermediate Downtrend

Prices of stocks (and other entities) rise and fall due to changes in the supply and demand relationships between buyers and sellers of the stock. The causes of the changing supply and demand relationships are many, but the effect of these changes shows up in the changing stock prices.

The following list shows all stocks beginning a new intermediate downtrend. A new intermediate downtrend normally begins with a breakdown when supply soaks up all demand after a series of rising tops and bottoms.

Security Name

Close

BATA (I)

603.10

GITANJALI GEMS

331.50

INDIAN OVERSEAS BANK

88.65

JUBILANT LIFE SCIENCES

174.30

NAVIN FLUORINE INTL

335.90

SABERO ORGANICS

87.70

SHIV-VANI OIL & GAS EXPLORATION SERVICES

185.45

SRF LTD

277.30

SUPRAJIT ENGINEERING

17.55

TVS MOTOR

55.90

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