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Mulit Bagger - Granules India 24-07-2012

NSE ID :GRANULES
Granules India is among the leading global manufacturer of high volume APIs including Paracetamol, Ibuprofen, Metformin and Guaifenesin. Additionally, Granules pioneered the concept of commercialising PFIs and is the world's largest PFI facility.
The Indian pharmaceutical industry grew at a CAGR of 14% in the five years leading to FY12; Granules revenues grew at a 28% CAGR during the period. GIL continued to strengthen its position in the rapidly growing market and is aiming at achieving productivity gains, growth in volumes, sustained margins and neutralising cost increases.

The company has registered smart numbers for the quarter ending March 2012. The revenue from operations has increased by 56.89% at Rs 188.09 crore for quarter under review as compared to Rs 119.89 crore for the quarter ended March 31, 2011 translating in operating profit of Rs.25.82 crore; up by 46.37% y-oy. A comparatively tremendous net profit growth of 85.71% to Rs. 16.38 was reported for the Q4FY12 compared to Rs.8.82 crore of same quarter previous year. Growth in revenue and profits was driven by higher growth in the finished dosage segment. EPS almost doubled at Rs.8.15 y-o-y.


GIL offers all three components of the pharmaceutical value chain which gives the customers flexibility and choice. It manufactures PFIs (strategically backward integrated through the in-house manufacture of APIs) to finished dosages (tablets in bulk).
Valuation
With efficient manufacturing value chain, increasing utilization, complete vertical integration and capacity expansion GIL's revenue visibility looks strong. We believe GIL is trading at an attractive valuation at 7.17x and 5.2x of FY13EPS of Rs.20.82 and FY14EPS of Rs.28.73. We initiate a BUY on the stock with a target price of Rs.200 (appreciation of about 34%) with the short to medium term investment horizon.

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